One more day before the FEC deadline. I can survive Joe Biden’s emails…
For all new readers: Welcome! I am currently on the mailing lists of 1 candidate for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, but I’ve been on 28 mailing lists! This blog breaks down recent emails with charts and excerpts. If you already know all of this, feel free to skip to the next chart!
I signed up to all mailing lists either on May 21 or the day the candidate announced, whichever was later. Using a different email address, I have donated at least $1 to all candidates who have been on a debate stage (I have given additional donations to my preferred candidates through my personal email, but the campaigns have linked the two accounts together and may ask for more as a result).
When showing breakdowns by campaigns, there will usually be 2 numbers. Emails to my non-donor account will be indicated by a darker color/top bar in horizontal bar charts. Emails to my donor account will be indicated by a lighter color/bottom bar.
Unless otherwise specified, all other charts combine the donor and non-donor numbers, as they are roughly 1-for-1, so the percentages and relative differences don’t change much. You can divide the numbers in half to get the rough estimate for what someone not signed up twice would be receiving. The rules I try to follow for the various categories are laid out in The Framework.
If you want specific data on any particular day, feel free to drop a comment!
We’re coming up on the end of the month, end of the quarter, and so Joe Biden sent me 4 emails as a non-donor and 5 emails as a donor.
That extra donor email was actually an invitation to an event… for high schoolers?
I am not a high schooler. Nevertheless, I was invited to “The Inside Scoop,” a virtual event for High Schoolers for Joe Biden with Symone Sanders. It sounded a lot like “here’s how to get into politics!”
I have no idea why I was invited to this event of all of Biden’s events that I am never told about, but I graduated high school 16 years ago. I don’t think this is my demographic.
Other than that one event, all of Biden’s emails were focused on his fundraising. Specifically, they were focused on his 3,000,000 donation goal.
However… the emails revealed some details about this goal that were very alarming if true.
To begin with, the 3 million donations were for the entire quarter: April, May, and June.
We have some details for his April and May fundraising, thanks to earlier emails and FEC filings.
April: $43 million, average donation of $32
May: $37 million, average donation of $30
So, in April, 1,343,750 donations, roughly. In May, 1,233,333 donations. That means for the month of June, to hit 3 million total donations, they need…
Less than half a million donations. And they haven’t hit it yet.
Furthermore, if we assume their lowest average donation from that above chart, that means their goal for the month of June is $12,687,510.
If we assume their average donation has bounced back up to March numbers, their goal is $16,916,680.
And they haven’t hit it.
Now, do I believe this? Of course not. The Obama fundraiser alone brought in $11 million in online donations. If they couldn’t raise an additional $6 million through other means, the campaign is in some serious trouble. However…
I want to be honest.
We don’t make these numbers up.
Here’s the truth.
Either the campaign is in some serious financial trouble or these emails assuring me that they are being honest are full of malarkey.
I’m leaning toward the latter. Sure, Biden’s fundraising is taking a nosedive, but I don’t think it’s as bad as the math says it should be. Which means the emails are not being honest even as they implore me to believe them.
Oh, it’s just a political email, everyone knows those are full of lies, right? Don’t take it so seriously?
Well, aside from NO MALARKEY being Biden’s motto, and this being a steaming pile of malarkey with his name splashed across it…
…he’s sent emails (GENUINELY WRITTEN BY CAROLE KING) about how bad it is that Trump has been lying to the American people.
I don’t like the argument of “Biden’s lies are good because X Y or Z.” When you have been abused by a serial gaslighter, no lie is acceptable, no matter how small and “innocent” it is. When you are abused, as the entire country has been, the healer must take extra care to not continue that abuse.
Joe Biden, if your emails are going to lie, at least stop saying they aren’t.