The weekend held the Nevada Caucus, the first time we had a winner definitely declared the same day the voting was carried out: Bernie Sanders. Delegates are still being awarded, but at the moment, Sanders is leading the new delegate count by over 10, putting him in first place, with Pete Buttigieg in second and Joe Biden moving up to third.
For all new readers: Welcome! I am currently on the mailing lists of 2 candidates for the Democratic Presidential Nomination! This blog breaks down recent emails with charts and excerpts. If you already know all of this, feel free to skip to the next chart!
I signed up to all mailing lists either on May 21 or the day the candidate announced, whichever was later. Using a different email address, I have donated at least $1 to all candidates who have been on a debate stage (I have given additional donations to my preferred candidates through my personal email, but the campaigns have linked the two accounts together and may ask for more as a result).
When showing breakdowns by campaigns, there will usually be 2 numbers. Emails to my non-donor account will be indicated by a darker color/top bar in horizontal bar charts. Emails to my donor account will be indicated by a lighter color/bottom bar.
Unless otherwise specified, all other charts combine the donor and non-donor numbers, as they are roughly 1-for-1, so the percentages and relative differences don’t change much. You can divide the numbers in half to get the rough estimate for what someone not signed up twice would be receiving. The rules I try to follow for the various categories are laid out in The Framework.
If you want specific data on any particular day, feel free to drop a comment!
Once again, the undisputed champion of the inbox was Pete Buttigieg, with 13 emails.
Out of the 100 emails I received this weekend, Buttigieg sent 24. That means in a field of 8, he was sending a quarter of all the emails I received.
Joe Biden can’t keep up, though he does try. He only managed to send 9 emails in 2 days, while Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren squeezed into third with just 8 emails each.
Unsurprisingly, more emails came in on the day of the Nevada caucus than the day after. Unlike Iowa and New Hampshire, there was a big enough difference in the Nevada results between first and second place that the winner could be declared on the same day people voted: Bernie Sanders.
Of course, as of the time of this writing, Nevada still hasn’t allocated all of their delegates yet, but I’m sure they’re working on it. I’ll update my delegate chart when they have.
Mike Bloomberg is having days of action all across the country, and he wanted me to come volunteer for him and share his events on social media. Pete Buttigieg also wanted me sharing on social media, sending me lists of events he was going to be at across the country and giving me suggested posts to tweet or put on Facebook.
Tom Steyer and Elizabeth Warren asked me to make calls for them, and I just realized that Steyer missed his first Sunday update on the state of his campaign since October 20, 2019. I wonder if that says something about the state of his campaign…
Mike Bloomberg reminded me about his campaign shop again–order now to get merch by Super Tuesday–and Elizabeth Warren offered up her pennant pin again, free with a donation of $25 or more.
Everyone wanted to talk about their incredibly strong showing in Nevada on the day of the caucus, but Amy Klobuchar very quickly pivoted to the debate and Elizabeth Warren switched to how great her fundraising had been. Tom Steyer barely emailed at all, though his one email did seem to be looking at different Nevada numbers than what was being widely reported.
I am so incredibly proud of the movement that we have built together, and I believe that we’re going to have a good night tonight. Earlier today, folks all over Nevada showed up at community centers, elementary schools, and even casinos to stand in a corner with their neighbors and raise their voices for a person they believe in. It is the honor of a lifetime that so many of those Nevadans believed in me and in what we’re fighting for, and after today’s caucuses, I am readier than ever before to see this through and put power back into the hands of the people.
When I got into this race, it was because I was worried about what I was seeing in the Democratic primary: a group of Washington insiders promising change, but unlikely to meaningfully reform the very system that keeps them in power. I still feel that way. We can’t fix this broken system of government — a system that puts big corporations and Mar-a-Lago country club members ahead of working families — by putting someone in charge who’s been at the center of that system for nearly 30 years.
But now, after seven months on the campaign trail, it’s about more than that. I feel deeply indebted to the million-plus people who have joined our movement. You knocked on doors, donated to help me get on the debate stage, joined our online community, and so much more. Your trust and support is a responsibility I take seriously. I feel honor-bound to do my very best to represent you well in this primary and beat Mr. Trump with you in November.
And here’s what I’ll tell you: I believe that we can win. Especially after today’s strong showing in Nevada, we are very well-placed to show up big in South Carolina. Our team on the ground is ready to do their part to make that happen. They are knocking on doors, making phone calls, and developing the connections necessary to drive turnout and win the election. But they could really use your help. Please, add your name here if you can spend just a few minutes reaching out to South Carolina voters before next Saturday’s primary.
Thank you for all that you do. I’m grateful for every single person who’s gotten involved in our campaign, and I’m ready to keep this incredible momentum going.Tom Steyer
Steyer did… surprisingly well. He pulled off that coveted fifth-place finish, knocking Amy Klobuchar down to sixth and managing to score himself a massive 0 delegates, putting his delegate total up to 0 total.
To be fair, though, depending on what numbers you’re looking at, Steyer may have been the only candidate not named Bernie Sanders or Pete Buttigieg to carry a county in Nevada. According to the NBC tracker, Mineral County went to Steyer with 25 votes, narrowly beating out Pete Buttigieg’s 42 votes…
I… don’t think I’ll ever understand caucus math. No wonder everyone is having so many problems getting the results out.
What surprised me the most this weekend was who was attacking whom. Some of it was completely expected:
The same candidates who decry how divided our country has become, acted to further divide us.
Tulsi warned her fellow House Democrats’ that a hyper-partisan impeachment process would increase the likelihood that Trump would be re-elected. What happened? After his acquittal in the Senate, his approval rating reached the highest levels since he took office. The risk that he will win in November is much greater than before.
Now more than ever we need leaders who have foresight.
Tulsi is the only candidate with a proven track record of putting the needs of the American people above partisanship and self-interest.
She is committed to working side-by-side to bring back a government that is truly of, by, and for the people.
Yes, that’s right, Tulsi Gabbard is arguing that the very Democrats who put partisanship and self-interest aside over helping the American people by impeaching the most corrupt President in the history of our country were actually being incredibly partisan and doing it badly. Shame on them for putting more importance on what was right instead of worrying about Trump’s popularity.
The establishments — Democratic, financial, media, and Republican — are beyond nervous.
They’re in full panic mode. They’re realizing they no longer have the power — we do.
That’s because when millions of $2.70 contributions from you and other Bernie supporters all add up, we are more powerful than the billionaire class.
We can do this. We can win. But only if we keep standing together. That’s why we’re asking for a $2.70 contribution today.
It is because of your hard work that we are three for three — victorious in Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada.
South Carolina is in six days. Then it’s Super Tuesday, where Mike Bloomberg is waiting with his billions.
Victory is in sight. We just have to keep doing what we’ve been doing. If you can make a $2.70 donation, you can bring us home:
Thanks for all you do. It means so much to us, and to Bernie especially.Faiz Shakir, Campaign Manager, Bernie 2020
Bernie Sanders actually gave a tiny swipe at Republicans (and at Democrats). This is a pretty big deal for Sanders: he’s only attacked Republicans 17 other times, in his over 1,000 emails. (Sanders had taken over 200 swipes at Democrats.)
I also think that right now is a pretty good time to remind you all of something we don’t say enough in this primary:
I’m not a socialist. I’m not a plutocrat. I’m a Democrat. I’ve been one my whole life.
Look, I didn’t just join this party out of convenience or for political ambition.
And I’m working my heart out in this election. Because we know the stakes couldn’t be higher.Joe Biden
Joe Biden gave the tiniest of bats indirectly at Bernie Sanders and Mike Bloomberg in his “second place” victory email.
But the real candidate baring his claws at another Democrat was Pete Buttigieg. Out of the 24 Democrat-negative emails, Buttigieg sent 12 of them. But while Sanders and Gabbard would attack the party as a whole, Buttigieg’s target was firmly on the back of the only candidate in front of him in the race.
Yesterday, The Washington Post reported that American intelligence agencies briefed Senator Sanders that Russia is actively engaging in efforts to bolster his candidacy.
In response, Bernie rightfully said that Russia should not meddle in American elections.
But then he suggested The Washington Post was trying to hurt his campaign by reporting on what the Russians were doing.
That’s deeply troubling, but also telling. What this report tells us is not that Russia wants Bernie to be president. We know their choice is Donald Trump, and they’ll do anything that they can to help him.
No. It’s telling of the kind of politics we’re in for in Bernie’s vision of the future: More conspiracy theories, more attacks undermining the free press when they write something you don’t like, more attacks on anyone who doesn’t agree with you 100% of the time.
Over the last four years, Donald Trump has undermined the press because it reported the facts and repeatedly suggested there were “deep state” conspiracies out to get him.
There’s nothing progressive about attacking a free press or fueling conspiracy theories. In fact, it’s undemocratic.
We can’t afford four more years of the same kind of toxic politics, whether it’s coming from Donald Trump or Bernie Sanders.
Leadership is about what you draw out of people. It’s about how you inspire people to act. We need a president who can move us forward and turn the page on the Trump era.
If you’re ready to make a clean break from failed policies AND divisive politics, this may be our last chance. We need you to make a donation right now to make sure Pete has the resources he needs to win.Hari Sevugan, Deputy Campaign Manager, Pete for America
I have to say, the Midwest-Nice Mayor who has a reputation for “the nice campaign” sure can hit hard when he’s actually trying. This email began by praising Sanders, and then shifting into why what Sanders said was actually severely problematic. It’s not “Oh, they hate our success and are scared of us” like Sanders (and Gabbard) and even Biden keep pushing, but it’s laying down some factual statements, drawing some connections, and then providing an alternative in the form of Buttigieg.
I have to say, I marvel at the masterful way Buttigieg has been playing the political game. Sanders’ anger is just anger. He’s always angry, always yelling, there’s nothing new or novel about him shouting at the establishment for being corrupt.
But Buttigieg? Buttigieg is the nice guy. The honest guy. Buttigieg is calm and rational, and if he’s upset… that’s something worth paying attention to, right?
Anger, like salt, is a useful seasoning, and a good chef knows how not to overdo it.