Day 276: 2/20/20

Thursday brought a new field to the Ask chart, which Pete Buttigieg started using, a new round of FEC filings, which Mike Bloomberg was either winning or losing, depending on what you counted, and some more town halls that I didn’t know about until Joe Biden told me they were over.


For all new readers: Welcome! I am currently on the mailing lists of Joe Biden and Donald Trump, though I have previously been on the mailing lists of 28 Democratic candidates! This blog breaks down recent emails with charts and excerpts. If you already know all of this, feel free to skip to the next chart!

It took some time for the Trump emails to kick in, so I started officially tracking his list on July 7. I have been tracking Biden’s for longer, but I will start comparing them as of July 7. All of these emails are going to a new email, and I have not donated, filled out surveys, signed petitions, or otherwise interacted with either candidate’s emails.

The rules I try to follow for the various categories are laid out in The Framework.

We’re dropping back to pre-debate numbers.

Pete Buttigieg only sent out 7 emails yesterday, which is a sure sign that things are settling down after the debate. Joe Biden is at 5 emails, while Elizabeth Warren lagged behind with only 4.

I’m growing numb to the volume of emails each candidates sends. There is a building bubble of maniacal laughter growing within me every time I see Buttigieg has sent me another 2 emails.

Is that… a new color!?

There’s a new Ask in the field, and that’s “Attend!” If a candidate asks me to attend a free event, whether in-person or virtual, it counts as an Attend ask. (If it’s a paid event, it’s donate.) Pete Buttigieg invited me to attend his first live virtual Q&A yesterday, imaginatively called “Pete Live”

If you focus/unfocus, you can make the lights change directions

It did have a snazzy little logo-thing, though, so that was nice.

Bernie Sanders was asking for a lot of donations, as today is apparently the day when all of his payments for his Super Tuesday ads are due, so he needs money NOW so he can determine how much he can spend on ads. He rattled off a long list of all of the Americans his campaign was going against.

Someone is missing from his list…

So, apparently, the enemy is now Republicans, Democrats, anyone in finance, anyone in media, anyone with billions of dollars, any group of concerned citizens who join together to elevate their voices, and pretty much anyone making an annual family income of $421,926 or higher.

It’s worth noting that Bernie Sanders himself is part of the “whole damn 1 percent.”

Is this simplifying Sanders’ message to vilify him? Yes, a little bit. But when he himself is simplifying his message to vilify people, it’s worth emphasizing just how easy it is to manipulate words into saying what you want them to say.

The debates were over, but post-debate emails were still high.

In the wake of the debates, FEC filings for January were due, and candidates were forced to reveal their hands. After sitting on his January numbers for nearly a month, Pete Buttigieg revealed that he only brought in about $6 million in the entire month of January. This is not a good look for a campaign that was a top three fundraiser in 2019.

This chart is so skewed by the billionaires.

It is worth noting that if we change the chart to only count fundraising from individual (non-candidate) donors, things look a little better for some candidates and a lot worse for others.

These numbers are at least sensible. Ish.

Regardless, Pete Buttigieg is feeling the pinch and asking for $13 million in donations by Super Tuesday. Elizabeth Warren, on the other hand, breezed past her $7 million donation goal and upped it to $10 million, then upped it again to $12 million by the Nevada caucus (which is Saturday). She’s clearly having a great fundraising time.

Tulsi Gabbard is trying to maintain her relevancy by point out some polls that show she’s still climbing.

I want to know how much Bloomberg is paying his supporters to be that loyal.

It’s interesting that Gabbard is using these polling numbers to indicate her strength when the margin of error equals the percentage she is at: 4%. It also shows that her support is very soft, with a majority of her supporters willing to consider voting for someone else.

This isn’t a good sign for a campaign now that voting has already begun.

Meanwhile, Amy Klobuchar has revealed that no, Iowa and New Hampshire do not count as separate races, because she’s still claiming that she hasn’t lost a single race.

She also loves italics, which I do too.

Once again, though, Klobuchar’s message was overshadowed by the EYE BLINDING CHOICE OF COLORS. Lime green and rust red? At what point do those go with emerald green and sky blue and a dark coral?

It was pointed out on Twitter that Klobuchar’s colors match that of Hidden Valley, the salad dressing company.

Can’t tell if joking or serious…

The green is off, and coral and lime green do not feature in Hidden Valley marketing as far as I can tell, but sure. Let’s go with that.

Joe Biden wanted to tell me about his CNN town hall… after he had his CNN town hall. I genuinely thought his town hall was on Monday, since I knew Buttigieg’s was on Tuesday and the debate was Wednesday. He and the other candidates with town halls on Thursday did not market their appearances via email at all. If it weren’t for Biden’s “I hope I made you proud” email, I wouldn’t have even known it was a thing.

And in case you were wondering, yes, Biden was still begging me for money.

This chart has stretched yet again.

2 thoughts on “Day 276: 2/20/20

  1. I have a question about the emails. I recently learned from the Lis Smith AMA on reddit that the campaign uses its emails to push whatever topic the campaign wants its followers to talk about.

    For the other candidates emails, do they seem to be doing the same thing?

    I love the blog, thanks for all the hard work and entertainment


    1. Hmm, I’ll need to track down this AMA.

      It wouldn’t surprise me if they did. They all tend to have very consistent messages.

      Biden: I am the BEST candidate to beat Trump, he’s scared of me.
      Bloomberg: Tell everyone why I’m the best candidate to beat Trump.
      Buttigieg: We are running out of time to save the country, and we won’t do it with Bernie or Bloomberg.
      Gabbard: Democrats SUCK
      Klobuchar: I am the BEST candidate to beat Trump
      Sanders: Everyone is against us but we’ll show them.
      Steyer: Trump is corrupt and we must stop him.
      Warren: We need big change and I’m the only one who’s going to do that.


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