Days 271 and 272: 2/15/20-2/16/20

The weekend marked one week until the Nevada Caucuses. Early voting has begun, which meant candidates were trying to get me to call into Nevada for them. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren wanted me to vote right now, and Amy Klobuchar reminded me that her emails tell a very different story than her public appearances.

EmailsCampaigns
Total798
Non-Donor428
Donor376

For all new readers: Welcome! I am currently on the mailing lists of 2 candidates for the Democratic Presidential Nomination! This blog breaks down recent emails with charts and excerpts. If you already know all of this, feel free to skip to the next chart!

I signed up to all mailing lists either on May 21 or the day the candidate announced, whichever was later. Using a different email address, I have donated at least $1 to all candidates who have been on a debate stage (I have given additional donations to my preferred candidates through my personal email, but the campaigns have linked the two accounts together and may ask for more as a result).

When showing breakdowns by campaigns, there will usually be 2 numbers. Emails to my non-donor account will be indicated by a darker color/top bar in horizontal bar charts. Emails to my donor account will be indicated by a lighter color/bottom bar.

Unless otherwise specified, all other charts combine the donor and non-donor numbers, as they are roughly 1-for-1, so the percentages and relative differences don’t change much. You can divide the numbers in half to get the rough estimate for what someone not signed up twice would be receiving. The rules I try to follow for the various categories are laid out in The Framework.

If you want specific data on any particular day, feel free to drop a comment!

That’s a 12 for Pete Buttigieg

As always, Pete Buttigieg lead the pack in emails, sending 12 emails to his non-donors over the weekend. Just behind him was Joe Biden, who only managed to squeeze out 10 emails to his donors. Amy Klobuchar was a distant third with just over half as many emails as Buttigieg sent, at 7.

Ironically, Bernie Sanders with his 4 emails was the one who acknowledged he was emailing me a lot.

So much more activity on Saturday.

Saturday marked the beginning of early voting in Nevada, and many campaigns were quick to hype the convenience of skipping the crowds of a caucus.

Unfortunately, so many people wanted to vote early that the lines were growing ridiculously long. To avoid the catastrophe of the app used in Iowa, Nevada decided to use an iPad and a Google form. It’s still early, but it sounds like the Nevada caucus is already turning out to be… challenging.

Tom Steyer was the only candidate talking policies.

Over the weekend, most people were interested in raising money, but Tom Steyer sent an email discussing the harms of the NRA and the importance of gun control. Pete Buttigieg reminded me that Trump is trying to help Bernie Sanders, in addition to Sanders’ 9 dark money groups, while Bernie Sanders reminded me that Pete Buttigieg has the support of an “outside group” and also there are a few other outside groups conspiring against him.

Sanders and Buttigieg were both claiming they were being outspent by the forces backing the other.

Elizabeth Warren let me know about an all-volunteers call I could join and asked me if I’d like to be a Get Out the Vote (GOTV) captain for Warren in Michigan. She also let me know that she was calling donors who contributed to her $7 million by next Saturday goal, apparently expanding beyond her original calls for just first-time donors. Both Warren and Sanders asked me to commit to vote for them in Michigan (still haven’t voted yet).

Bernie Sanders is slowly switching gears to focus on Mike Bloomberg, pivoting away from the poorest mayor in the race to attack the richest.

I will be direct: Mike Bloomberg and his billions cannot defeat Donald Trump, because his money cannot buy the energy and enthusiasm required to win.

Here’s what Bernie said last night in Las Vegas about Bloomberg’s record:

“Regardless of how much money a multi-billionaire candidate is willing to spend on his election, we will not create the energy and excitement we need to defeat Donald Trump if that candidate pursued, advocated for and enacted racist policies like ‘stop and frisk’ which caused communities of color in his city to live in fear.

“We will not defeat Donald Trump with a candidate who in 2015 stated, and I quote, ‘I, for example, am not in favor, have never been in favor, of raising the minimum wage.’ …

“The simple truth is that Mayor Bloomberg, with all his money, will not create the kind of excitement and energy we need to have the voter turnout we must have to defeat Donald Trump.”

In order to stop Bloomberg, who is spending hundreds of millions in the Super Tuesday states, we need to win Nevada big — and we can do that by getting a huge number of contributions today. Can you make one?

Please contribute $2.70 to our campaign today so that we can win Nevada, win this nomination, defeat Donald Trump, and transform our country. Add your contribution to show we’re more powerful than the billionaire class.

The only way to defeat Donald Trump is with a multi-racial, multi-generational grassroots movement like the one we’re building together. Thank you for all you do for Bernie and our campaign.

Faiz Shakir, Campaign Manager, Bernie 2020
This is the lowest donate ask percentage in a long time.

Tom Steyer invited me to send him a message of support as we approach the next debate, though that was part of his usual Sunday update email in which he goes over various ways I can help the campaign. Amy Klobuchar invited me to take her pre-debate focus group survey, while Mike Bloomberg wanted me to sign a petition to protect social security.

Amy Klobuchar also sent me an email in which she was taking a break from campaigning to say thank you for all I’ve already done to help her campaign. This was hardly the first time Klobuchar had sent me an email “just” to say thank you (and also to ask for donations), but it made me stop and think. Her personality in her emails is wildly different from her personality on the debate stage, or in interviews. While she is aggressive and assertive in person, frequently accused of being an abusive boss, in her emails she is charming and gracious, always optimistic and excited about the future of her surging campaign full of momentum.

Klobuchar is perhaps the only candidate with such a big discrepancy between her email persona and her public persona, at least among the remaining candidates. I’ve never seen her berate a fellow candidate in her emails for being inexperienced or making impossible promises. In her emails, her world is always rosy and bright… and full of many, many clashing colors.

Who do you think will drop out next?

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