Week 39: February 9-February 15, 2020

Over this past week, three candidates dropped, more people got to vote, and the amount of emails I’ve been getting took a serious nose-dive. Everyone wants money, but only Joe Biden doesn’t seem to know how much he has.

Yang and Bennet dropped out on the same day, but I couldn’t put two Xs on the same day, so I gave Yang the day before. This is purely for visual understanding
EmailsCampaigns
Total3818
Non-Donor1748
Donor1596

For all new readers: Welcome! I am currently on the mailing lists of Joe Biden and Donald Trump, though I have previously been on the mailing lists of 28 Democratic candidates! This blog breaks down recent emails with charts and excerpts. If you already know all of this, feel free to skip to the next chart!

It took some time for the Trump emails to kick in, so I started officially tracking his list on July 7. I have been tracking Biden’s for longer, but I will start comparing them as of July 7. All of these emails are going to a new email, and I have not donated, filled out surveys, signed petitions, or otherwise interacted with either candidate’s emails.

The rules I try to follow for the various categories are laid out in The Framework.

See that 20 bar? I want no candidate to send more than that in a week.

Pete Buttigieg bodyslammed the rest of the candidates in my inbox with a whopping 47 emails sent in a week. His average is hovering around 7 emails every single day, or one email every 3.5 hours.

All.

Week.

Buttigieg, sweetheart, I think everyone getting your emails knows who you are, knows you’re running for President, and knows you need money. You can go at least 5 hours without reminding us. You know what? We can probably even manage a full 8.

Joe Biden was far behind Buttigieg, sending only 32 emails this week, while Amy Klobuchar claimed yet another third place victory with her 29 emails.

Two things caused this chart.

Tuesday was the New Hampshire primary, which was won by Bernie Sanders with 25.7% of the vote. He and Pete Buttigieg both claimed 9 delegates in New Hampshire, while Amy Klobuchar took the remaining 6. The current standing for delegates is as follows:

  1. 23 – Pete Buttigieg
  2. 21 – Bernie Sanders
  3. 8 – Elizabeth Warren
  4. 7 – Amy Klobuchar
  5. 6 – Joe Biden
  6. 0 – Everyone else

Warren and Biden have been very emphatic that this is just the start of a marathon, only about 2% of people have voted, and there’s plenty of time for them to catch up. Klobuchar is shoving her 3rd place finish in everyone’s face and very excitedly talking about how she’s surging and she’s totally going to win big. Bernie Sanders is claiming a win in every primary and complaining about how much he’s being outspent by (REMINDER: SANDERS HAS RAISED THE MOST MONEY), while Pete Buttigieg is excited that the first two states have gotten behind his message and he’s looking forward to continuing his work in the remaining 48 states and 7 territories.

The New Hampshire primary is a good reason for the surge of emails on Monday and Tuesday and the drop-off on Wednesday, but this chart also includes emails from candidates who dropped out this week, and both Andrew Yang and Michael Bennet dropped out on Tuesday night, while Deval Patrick dropped out on Wednesday. These three combined usually brought in between 40-50 emails a week, so their absence is actually very noticeable (and very appreciated).

I do wish Buttigieg would stop trying to make up for their loss, though.

Election = Campaign Event

Raising money and getting people to vote were the two main topics of the week, neck and neck for most important. There was a little flutter of attention around the holiday (Valentine’s Day) and some polls, but mostly, campaigns wanted to talk about how they were needing to raise money and get people to vote for them.

No one was more two-faced about this than Joe Biden.

February 13

On February 13, I got this email from Biden talking about how their momentum is NOT slowing down and they are having their BEST online fundraising month. Things are going great!

February 14

Not even a full 24 hours later, they were falling behind and desperately needing my help to catch up.

Biden seems genuinely puzzled as to why he’s not pulling in the money he thinks he should, and I can’t help but feel that a message like this one is part of the problem. He oscillates between “THINGS ARE GREAT” and “THINGS ARE HORRIBLE” and spends all of his time begging, pleading, cajoling, and even, occasionally, threatening me for money.

He doesn’t just ask.

There’s always some sort of angle with Biden, some sort of stench of desperation. My $5 is always the one thing separating overwhelming success from abject failure. His campaign has not felt even-keeled and in control since the first day I started tracking these emails. The wild vacillations are a subconscious warning that this is a campaign that has no idea what it’s doing. It does not inspire confidence: it inspires apprehension. I don’t want to support a campaign that is careening off the rails before it even begins.

Elizabeth Warren is also giving me some confusion.

The results here make sense.

Sanders is the biggest threat to Warren’s standing right now. The far-left vote is going to Sanders, and he’s attacked her more than any other candidate. He’s also the current front-runner. She should be targeting him if she wanted to pull in some of his crowd. Or Amy Klobuchar also makes sense, as at this point, they are the last two serious female candidates left standing, and there are a lot of voters who want a woman in the White House. Even attacking Buttigieg makes some sense, as he’s number 2 (or number 1, depending on what you’re looking at), and they have a lot of overlap in their voter bases.

So, of course, her attack email reads like this:

What do you call a gathering of over one hundred Wall Street big shots and wealthy donors at a restaurant in Manhattan?

A Joe Biden fundraiser. And he hosted two of them just last night.

CNBC reported that Biden’s 280 guests at a pair of closed-door fundraisers included “some of the biggest names in the financial services community” — from places like Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley.

He’s expected to have raised at least $1 million in just one night. That will pay for a lot of campaigning in critical Super Tuesday states.

Elizabeth’s time is not for sale, and when she’s president, our government won’t be for sale, either. Instead of catering to Wall Street, she’ll keep doing what she’s been doing for decades: fighting for working people.

And instead of scooping up $1 million in one night by cozying up to the wealthy and well-connected, Elizabeth is only counting on grassroots donors like you. A couple hundred rich donors shouldn’t be able to decide the Democratic nominee for president. And if we all stay in this fight, they won’t be able to.

We need to hit our $7 million goal so we can stay competitive through Super Tuesday — can you chip in $10 or whatever you can right now to help elect Wall Street’s last choice for president, Elizabeth Warren?

Team Warren

Biden is imploding. His support is collapsing and bleeding away. He is struggling to raise money. He may be an easy target right now, but he’s not a useful target. He’ll die on his own without Warren’s help. I don’t know why her campaign is wasting its own limited resources on helping him go down faster.

But then again, there’s a lot about Warren’s campaign I just don’t understand.

Mostly about the money

With voting underway now, the campaigns are ramping up their volunteer asks. Most campaigns want me to call into Nevada to convince people to vote for their candidate. Some ask me to vote for them in Michigan, where early voting has also begun (I haven’t voted yet). Merch asks have dropped off: Mike Bloomberg and Pete Buttigieg both plugged their stores, while Elizabeth Warren offered first-time donors both a sticker and a chance to get a phone call.

Tom Steyer has been focusing on his racial equality policies this week. I’ve noticed that ever since the donor requirement has dropped off the debate requirements, he has stopped asking people to donate to him. Instead, he just wants me to say I stand with him.

At least he’s not asking me to shower him in praise the way Bloomberg keeps asking for.

There’s about 100 emails separating Biden, Buttigieg, and Klobuchar

If you’ve enjoyed what you’ve read so far, consider supporting me on Ko-Fi. But Their Emails! merch is also available on for purchase here!

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