Thursday brought a lot of asks for money. A lot of asks. Only Tom Steyer and Mike Bloomberg did not ask me for money.
However, Friday brought a podcast! Check out the latest episode of Primarily: 2020, hosted by Karin Robinson to hear us discuss the political emails thus far. It’s available on every podcast platform I can see, so go! Listen! And leave Karin some feedback!
For all new readers: Welcome! I am currently on the mailing lists of Joe Biden and Donald Trump, though I have previously been on the mailing lists of 28 Democratic candidates! This blog breaks down recent emails with charts and excerpts. If you already know all of this, feel free to skip to the next chart!
It took some time for the Trump emails to kick in, so I started officially tracking his list on July 7. I have been tracking Biden’s for longer, but I will start comparing them as of July 7. All of these emails are going to a new email, and I have not donated, filled out surveys, signed petitions, or otherwise interacted with either candidate’s emails.
The rules I try to follow for the various categories are laid out in The Framework.
Once again, Pete Buttigieg sent out 5 emails in a day, while Joe Biden sent out 4 and Michael Bennet and Amy Klobuchar tied with 3 each. I will confess, one of Bennet’s emails had the subject “No Regrets” and I wondered if it was a drop-out announcement… but no, he just wanted to let me know he was grateful for standing with me.
I did not realize, going through all my emails, how few were not donation emails on Thursday. Both Tom Steyer and Mike Bloomberg asked if I’d be willing to volunteer for their campaigns, and Steyer also wanted to express his gratitude for my support by sending me a free “Save the World” sticker, not even asking for a donation.
Other than that, everyone. Wanted. Money.
While some candidates focused on the caucuses and primaries and others focused on getting their monetary numbers as high as possible, Cory Booker reminded me that he wanted to have dinner with me. We could talk about anything: dad jokes, Star Wars spoilers, none of the above. He just really wanted me to donate so I could be chosen to be flown out to have dinner with him.
I haven’t seen Star Wars yet. I feel like I should, if I want to win this.
Pete Buttigieg is very optimistic about Iowa. He can see a path to victory and needs my support to get there. The path also, apparently, includes the endorsement of Congressman Anthony Brown, Representative of Maryland’s 4th district. Brown sent a very nice letter on Buttigieg’s behalf with a conclusion I really appreciated.
Many exceptional friends and leaders have stepped forward, all of whom would be infinitely preferable to Donald Trump. But of all the candidates, I believe Pete Buttigieg is the right one to take on and defeat Trump and, more importantly, to lead us into a better future.Congressman Anthony Brown, for Pete for America
Every Democratic candidate is preferable to Donald Trump. Every single one. Just because Brown likes Buttigieg best doesn’t mean he’s disparaging the others.
Nancy Pelosi gave a statement yesterday that included this line: It’s not about how bad they are, it’s about how good we are.
She was talking about the situation with Iran, but that sentence applies to the primary too. Winning the race should not be about making the other candidates out to be bad. It should be focusing on why your chosen candidate is better.
Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren informed me that the FEC deadlines are now monthly instead of weekly. This is good news for Warren, she said, because it means that the January fundraising numbers will be the last ones before the Iowa caucus and not the Q4 ones.
Except… Q4 numbers are mandated to be released on January 15. January numbers are mandated to be released on February 20. That is well after Iowa and New Hampshire. Warren will likely release her total in advance of the vote, but the full breakdown won’t be available until after.
Biden just wanted to give me a heads up that since the deadlines were now monthly, I was going to be getting a lot more urgent emails this month than usual.
Bernie Sanders wanted me to know that for two days straight now, Trump has been giving press releases bashing him. That is clearly because Trump is scared of him.
Trump being scared of a campaign is usually a Joe Biden rhetoric, but as the campaigns draw closer to the end, they’re all starting to borrow from each other. Just look at this line from an Elizabeth Warren email:
It’s interesting that these two candidates have both been using the “getting involved in politics is an act of positivity” line, though Buttigieg has made it into a catchphrase, using it in 19 emails to Warren’s 2. It would be interesting to know how many times each candidate has used it in their speeches, and who used it first. I noticed other recycled lines before, such as Warren using Kamala Harris’ “prosecute the case against Donald Trump” line, and Joe Biden using “Medicare for All Who Want It” to describe his own policy. None of these lines or phrases are trademarked or belong to any one specific candidate, but it’s proof that if you hang around the same people too much, you pick up on their ways of talking. It’s something you have to be especially aware of when you’re in the public eye, lest you’re accused of plagiarizing.
But while some candidates are copying each other, Michael Bennet is pleased with his recent New Hampshire surge. The latest Monmouth poll out of New Hampshire shows him with a 2% increase over their last poll in September, putting him at a total of… 2%!
And Tom Steyer pulled in two surprising polls out of South Carolina and Nevada putting him over the 7% in two early states needed to qualify for the January debate stage.
Andrew Yang, meanwhile, has decided that some things are out of his control and the Yang Gang just needs to focus on what they can control.
And if 2016 taught us anything, it’s this: Anything can happen.
As a campaign, we try to only worry about the things we can control, and we don’t sweat the stuff we can’t.
We can’t control when the media uses the wrong picture of Andrew’s face, or when they leave him off a graphic, when they decide to release polls, or when pollsters fail to poll.
We can control how we spend our money, where and how Andrew spends his time, and the message we put out to voters in the early primary states.
But what we do know is that we have more momentum than any other campaign — we are going to peak at the exact right time, and we are going to win this nomination and defeat Trump in November. But, we need to be ready when the time comes. To do that, we need your help.