Days 229 and 230: 1/4/20-1/5/20

Over the weekend, Elizabeth Warren changed up her budget, Joe Biden talked about the war on the U.S. Postal Service, and Marianne Williamson talked about the war in Iran.

EmailsCampaigns
Total8212
Non-Donor4312
Donor3911

For all new readers: Welcome! I am currently on the mailing lists of 8 candidates for the Democratic Presidential Nomination! This blog breaks down recent emails with charts and excerpts. If you already know all of this, feel free to skip to the next chart!

I signed up to all mailing lists either on May 21 or the day the candidate announced, whichever was later. Using a different email address, I have donated at least $1 to all candidates who have been on a debate stage (I have given additional donations to my preferred candidates through my personal email, but the campaigns have linked the two accounts together and may ask for more as a result).

When showing breakdowns by campaigns, there will usually be 2 numbers. Emails to my non-donor account will be indicated by a darker color/top bar in horizontal bar charts. Emails to my donor account will be indicated by a lighter color/bottom bar.

Unless otherwise specified, all other charts combine the donor and non-donor numbers, as they are roughly 1-for-1, so the percentages and relative differences don’t change much. You can divide the numbers in half to get the rough estimate for what someone not signed up twice would be receiving. The rules I try to follow for the various categories are laid out in The Framework.

If you want specific data on any particular day, feel free to drop a comment!

So much for the respite.

Pete Buttigieg sent a massive 7 emails to his non-donors over the weekend, while Elizabeth Warren only sent 6. The bulk of the candidates–Michael Bennet, Cory Booker, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, and Andrew Yang–each sent 4 emails in 2 days.

Sundays don’t usually have more emails.

Sunday received 6 more emails than Saturday. As the Iowa caucus looms ahead of every campaign, they are either stressing the importance of getting out the caucus or downplaying the importance of Iowa.

Money makes the world go ’round.

Bernie Sanders talked about the secret to his massive fundraising haul: it was just Sanders being Sanders. Also the many emails Sanders had sent. That’s it, that’s his secret to raising lots of money. Be Bernie Sanders. He also slipped in a jab at “wine caves” in addition to his earlier email highlighted yesterday, where he lashed out at Pete Buttigieg for campaigning in New Hampshire.

Elizabeth Warren is still facing a massive fundraising gap. Despite coming in above-budget for Q4 (she was aiming for $20 million and ended with $21.2 million), she does not have the money to execute her planned budget.

Wait. What?

In the coming days, we’ll be finalizing our advertising budget ahead of the Iowa caucuses. But right now, our campaign is a little short of where it needs to be to execute the advertising strategy we have planned.

Here’s the good news: It’s not too late to turn things around. So we’re launching a three-day sprint to fill our Iowa Ad Fund — so we can make the critical investments we need to win. We set a goal of $500,000 by midnight Tuesday, and with your help, we can get there.

Team Warren

So… let me get this straight. Her team looked at her $17 million and risky goal of $20 million.

So Elizabeth Warren needs your help. Right now. The goal is $20 million for the quarter — that’s how much the campaign needs to keep our plans on track.

Team Warren, December 27, 2019

They looked at those numbers, built their plan around those numbers… and then changed the plan?

As of December 27, $20 million would keep their plans on track.

As of January 5, $21.7 million was what they needed.

Why did they add $1.7 million of spending when they were in a budget crunch? What happened in that week to make them figure they could just spend as they pleased? Did they get hit with an unexpected $1.7 million bill at the end of the year? Or do they struggle with setting budgets and keeping to them?

I’m sorry, but when one of your jobs is to sign off for the budget for the entire country and you’re following a President who has exploded our deficit, I’d really appreciate a demonstration that you have a team which is fiscally responsible.

Meanwhile, Amy Klobuchar has dropped her nonstop goals in 2020 and switched instead to a plea to start 2020 off on the strongest foot possible by donating to her campaign. Michael Bennet has informed me that they’ve raised $400,000 of their $700,000 goal, but they still need to raise $300,000 in two weeks in order to stay competitive. And Pete Buttigieg made the very valid point that 2020 will be seen as a turning point of history, and if I donate (to him), I can be an architect of that history instead of merely a watcher.

Joe Biden, while still trying to drum up his own finances, informed me that Trump is attempting to destroy the U.S. Postal Service and would like me to sign a petition to protect it. Tom Steyer doubled up on surveys about the issues that are important to me. John Delaney also wanted to know where his top supporters stood with a month until Iowa.

I like having the colors all represented.

Contest-wise, Elizabeth Warren repeated her invitation to hang out with her and Jonathan Van Ness in Iowa if I was the lucky donor to be chosen (so donate!). Joe Biden offered to fly me out to him on the trail to grab a cup of joe with Joe.

Cory Booker was focused on the all-white debate stage and trying to get on the January stage. There were a couple new polls released, but other than giving Amy Klobuchar all of her polls post-December debate instead of having her relying on some pre-debate polls, they did not change the makeup of the stage at all.

Marianne Williamson sent me some videos she thought I’d like and two long emails about how Trump’s behavior in Iran is absolutely horrible and needs to be corrected. There was a time when kings and leaders would consult with older women of certain ages before going to war. She believes that America needs to do that again (and as an older woman of a certain age, she’d vie for the privilege to be consulted, and she should also be consulted as the President). Interestingly, she is the only one truly fixating on the impending Iran War. Tulsi Gabbard did send an email about the foolishness of an Iranian war as well, though she did not write as extensively as Williamson.

Michael Bennet told me how he went on Fox News and was cut off mid-sentence as he called out Trump’s lies, while Andrew Yang wished he could show off his progress in Iowa to the entire Yang Gang.

Perhaps my favorite email of the weekend came from Cory Booker whose subject line was “Not asking for money” and whose first paragraph was “Nope, this is not a donate ask (though if you really want to, you can do so here)!” I appreciated the straightforwardness of acknowledging that all campaign emails are an ask for money, but he got that message out of the way so he could focus on asking for volunteers helping out the campaign.

Andrew Yang is 360-no-scoping!

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