Day 204: 12/10/19

On Tuesday, Andrew Yang qualified for the debates, Tulsi Gabbard quit the debates, and Julian Castro is trying to cancel Iowa’s First in the Nation status.


For all new readers: Welcome! I am currently on the mailing lists of Joe Biden and Donald Trump, though I have previously been on the mailing lists of 28 Democratic candidates! This blog breaks down recent emails with charts and excerpts. If you already know all of this, feel free to skip to the next chart!

It took some time for the Trump emails to kick in, so I started officially tracking his list on July 7. I have been tracking Biden’s for longer, but I will start comparing them as of July 7. All of these emails are going to a new email, and I have not donated, filled out surveys, signed petitions, or otherwise interacted with either candidate’s emails.

The rules I try to follow for the various categories are laid out in The Framework.

Filling out this chart again.

Julian Castro, Amy Klobuchar, and Andrew Yang all topped the list of most emails sent on Tuesday with 4 each. Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and Marianne Williamson all sent out 3 emails each.

Impeachment came up again, surprise surprise.

There were a number of debate developments swirling around on Tuesday, with the most notable being the fourth qualifying poll for Andrew Yang. After weeks of progressively more worry in the emails, Yang’s campaign manager finally erupted with relief.

We just hit the final poll needed to qualify for the December debate! Quinnipiac released a new poll today showing Andrew with 4% support NATIONALLY.

That’s right, we’re now six for six in DNC Democratic debates.

I just told Andrew and he got choked up talking about the power of the Yang Gang. He is humbled by each and every one of you.

But we can’t take our feet off the gas. Not even for a minute. The Iowa caucuses are less than two months away. Chip in $10 or more right now and keep the momentum going.

Qualifying for the December debate proves a lot about this campaign.

It proves that we are in this for the long haul. It proves we are not slowing down. It proves we are the team that is going to get Andrew to the White House.

It’s because of the Yang Gang that we hit this milestone — and it will be up to the Yang Gang to keep us powering through to Super Tuesday.

This is not the time to slow down. We have to keep this campaign running in high gear.

Let’s show everyone that we’re not slowing down, Yang Gang, and send $10 or more to keep our momentum up

Let’s not lose sight of our ultimate goal. Our work isn’t finished until Andrew becomes the Democratic nominee and beats Trump in 2020.

Let’s keep it up, Yang Gang, and win this whole thing!

Zach Graumann, Campaign Manager, Yang2020

I did not get a notice about a new button. I suspect that will come next week, for the actual debate itself.

There is one other candidate who can possibly qualify for the December debates at this point, and that is Tulsi Gabbard. As of the time of this writing, she was still 1 poll away from earning her spot.

TODAY is when we must come together and take bold action to ensure Tulsi’s important and singular message, for our country and our people, wins the day.

We’ve set an ambitious, but necessary, fundraising goal of raising $1 million dollars before the end of this last FEC fundraising deadline of the year. And if we’re going to get our message directly to as many voters as possible — with increasingly pricey and competitive TV and digital ads and on-the-ground organizing efforts — we will need to ramp up our spending over the coming days.

Will you rush $17$27$50 or whatever you can afford right now to get us there?

Every single second of airtime Tulsi has to spread her message of a government of, by and for the people, to lift our voices against the corporate war machine, to speak truth to establishment power, counts.

That means so much more than being on a debate stage delivering 60 second soundbites to the corporate mainstream media and its viewers. It means being ready to launch hard-hitting TV and digital ads in the early states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina on January 1, and it means mobilizing our grassroots volunteers to get Tulsi’s name on the ballot in every state starting now.

We’ve been steadily gaining in the polls in the states where we’ve been investing resources; TV and digital ads in Iowa and New Hampshire, organizing efforts on the ground. Now, we need to spend big — and raise big — before the critical end of year fundraising deadline.

Will you step it up and help Tulsi end this pivotal year in a stronger position than ever friend?

Our longshot campaign is punching well above its weight, but where we can really flex our strategic advantage is in primaries like New Hampshire, where voters on the ground have actually had the chance to meet and speak with each candidate for themselves, rather than through the biased lens of the corporate media. We’ve got tough competition in these early states; every candidate knows that a top 3 finish equals critical momentum that we need to carry us through to the very end. Tulsi is currently in a great position to come out in front — she’s polling at #5 consistently in New Hampshire, and is steadily rising. We can get her over the line.

Together, we will take back our democracy from the corrupt and out-of-touch elite and return our government to one that truly serves We, the People.

Thank you for your service to our bold mission for a future with peace, human dignity, true equality and environmental protection for all.

Caitlin, TULSI2020

Something is missing from this email, though: Gabbard declared via Twitter that even if she did qualify for the debate stage, she wouldn’t be going.

She hasn’t informed me via email yet.

What’s more, in this email, Gabbard specifically says that every single second of airtime counts. In the past, she has lambasted “media darlings” such as Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris, and Pete Buttigieg for the free media exposure that comes from being on a debate stage.

All I can say is that if Gabbard wants to deliberately shun free media, she shouldn’t criticize that media for giving their attention to someone who didn’t shun them.

Cory Booker is not likely to be on the debate stage. With just a day to go, he still needs to collect all of his qualifying polls. Still, Booker hasn’t given up.

As the only senator in this race who goes home to a low-income Black and Brown neighborhood, I feel compelled to speak out about the specific issues that plague communities like mine and so many others across our country.

That’s why in the last debate, I made it a point to talk about the challenges of affordable housing and gentrification — issues facing millions of Americans that have received far too little attention during this election.

If you want to keep hearing about these issues, I hope you’ll chip in and help send me back to the debate stage next week.

In past debates, I spoke about my plans to ensure reproductive justice for all and how we’ll end child poverty and strengthen union rights. I’ve also brought the need for serious criminal justice reform and ending the era of mass incarceration to the debate stage — an issue that many of my opponents haven’t seen firsthand.

And I’ve brought attention to the epidemic of violence facing trans women of color, and how we should hold pharmaceutical manufacturers accountable for the opioid crisis that is ravaging our communities.

These issues have not received the coverage they deserve in this primary. If I’m back on that stage, I will keep speaking out and bringing them to the forefront of the national conversation.

That is why I’m asking if you can contribute right now to make sure my voice is on the next debate stage.

I’m going to keep using my platform the best way that I can — to advocate for justice for all.

Cory Booker

I like Booker. I like his cheerful personality and attention to the silver lining. I like his bad jokes and his ability to hit the point of things. Unfortunately, not enough of the country seems to like him. And while he may argue that if he just had a chance to speak his message on the debate stage… he was on the past 5 stages and spoke his message. He did very well in each debate.

It didn’t change things.

Julian Castro is also four polls away from qualifying, but Castro’s at least admitted that he won’t be making the December debates. He’s instead focused on lecturing Iowa about why they’re too white to go first.

I just stepped off the stage at my First-In-The-Nation Town Hall in Iowa.  

I’ve questioned whether it’s ideal for a country and a party that prides itself on its diversity to begin each presidential primary cycle in a state like Iowa that lacks such diversity.  

 Iowa has been going first for almost 50 years. In that time our country has changed dramatically. It’s time our primary process changes with it. 

Tonight, we brought Iowans together to talk about it. To ask tough questions. To share their concerns, and defend their first-in-the-nation status. 

Not everyone agreed, but this conversation brought to light that many Iowans do. They just needed someone to say it first and start the discussion. 

That’s what I did, and I will continue to speak up when others won’t. 

This campaign is about being bold enough to speak truths no matter what, and making sure we live our values. Help us continue to engage people across the country and build this grassroots campaign. >>

Julian Castro

I know Castro has told me that this totally isn’t because he’s not doing well in Iowa and it’s in the interest of fairness for everyone, but I can’t help but feel like this is totally because he’s not doing well in Iowa and he thinks he’d be doing better if, say, Nevada was first, with its high Hispanic population.

In the most recent Nevada poll, from November 17, Castro had a whopping 1%.

Do I agree with him, that Iowa is not representative of the country? Yeah. But I don’t think any one state is actually representative of the country. This country is way too diverse, and in more ways than just the color of your skin. Should the primary order be shuffled around? Probably. But is two months before the first primary really the time to start banging the pans together about this?

Marianne Williamson has long abandoned hope of getting back on the debate stage. She’s instead advertising a livestream on December 16. It will be, she has told me, one of Those Moments that will go down in history.

Yes, you will have to pay to watch this livestream.

My response to this has been, repeatedly, to wonder who Dr. Deepak Chopra is and then to repeatedly forget to Google him. Give me a moment while I do so right now.

…well, I can tell you immediately that I am not impressed with him. He’s an author, apparently. This is the first Google result:

See what immediately made me frown?

That’s not how you spell “mystery.” If the misspelling is intentional for Reasons, it’s a bad idea to have it in the website description before someone even knows why it’s spelled wrong. If you are a writer, it is important that you write correctly. (I checked out his site. Could not find an explanation for the misspelling.)

What I did find from perusing Chopra’s site was a fantastic ease to buy his books. Even just reading the description of a book, the text slid down and an order form appeared. There were 13 buttons to buy his book from various retailers and in various formats. Like Williamson, Chopra seems to use words to obscure meaning and talk in big circles… except when it comes to buying his product.

Somehow, I doubt this will be a livestream that will go down in history.

A little more variety today.

Elizabeth Warren released her Blue New Deal plan on Tuesday, and she asked me to sign a petition supporting it. Mike Bloomberg told me about the steps he was taking to fix our climate that Trump was refusing to do. Andrew Yang told me about the holiday shipping deadline for his merch store. Michael Bennet reminded me that his Breakfast with Bennet contest was ending, so I needed to donate now if I wanted breakfast with him.

Pete Buttigieg told me that he unfortunately did not make his donation goal of 50,000 by Monday. He’s still aiming to get 2 million donations by the end of the year. I’m sure, knowing his history with FEC filing releases, he’ll let me know if he made it on January 1st.

Can you imagine being campaign staffers needing to work December 31st all the way up until midnight to try to pull in the last drops of cash for the FEC deadline?


Joe Biden wanted to raise a last $5,000 in the final hour before Trump’s rally in Hershey, Pennsylvania. He wanted to give Trump a “warm welcome” he said. Except… how? What was the Biden campaign going to do to protest against Trump’s rally? Especially when they didn’t have the money with just an hour to go.

Clearly, they weren’t actually using the money to protest at Trump’s rally or hold a counter-rally or something like that. If anything, they’ll use it to go after whatever Trump said at his rally that was negative toward Biden.

Although, if Bernie Sanders has anything to say, it’s that other people having money is a bad thing.

Not everything is about you, Sanders.

Bloomberg’s ad buy is ridiculous, and I’m not happy about Biden’s super PAC, but I have to say, every time Sanders complains about other candidates having big fundraisers, he comes across sounding like the guy who didn’t get invited to a party and thus decided to outlaw all parties. Just look at his war on hors d’oeuvres sometime and tell me those aren’t the rants of a man once wronged by tiny foods.

Remember when Tim Ryan was the most vocal candidate?

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