Day 170: 11/6/19

On Wednesday, Tulsi Gabbard and Amy Klobuchar qualified for the November and December debates respectively, while Steve Bullock and Pete Buttigieg are putting out campaign ads.


For all new readers: Welcome! I am currently on the mailing lists of 17 candidates for the Democratic Presidential Nomination! This blog breaks down recent emails with charts and excerpts. If you already know all of this, feel free to skip to the next chart!

I signed up to all mailing lists either on May 21 or the day the candidate announced, whichever was later. Using a different email address, I have donated at least $1 to all candidates who have been on a debate stage (I have given additional donations to my preferred candidates through my personal email, but the campaigns have linked the two accounts together and may ask for more as a result).

When showing breakdowns by campaigns, there will usually be 2 numbers. Emails to my non-donor account will be indicated by a darker color/top bar in horizontal bar charts. Emails to my donor account will be indicated by a lighter color/bottom bar.

Unless otherwise specified, all other charts combine the donor and non-donor numbers, as they are roughly 1-for-1, so the percentages and relative differences don’t change much. You can divide the numbers in half to get the rough estimate for what someone not signed up twice would be receiving. The rules I try to follow for the various categories are laid out in The Framework.

If you want specific data on any particular day, feel free to drop a comment!

We have a leader again.

Julian Castro pulled ahead of the pack with 4 emails on Wednesday. Joe Biden, Steve Bullock, Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, Tom Steyer, and Marianne Williamson all sent 3 emails each.

Tulsi Gabbard sent her one email at 11:59 PM ET. Her donor version showed up at 12:14 AM ET the next day, so it will be in tomorrow’s recap. Gabbard’s one email was about qualifying for the November debates and how she’s going to put the DNC and corporate media in their places.

What’s this? So few fundraising emails?

Speaking of the debates, Amy Klobuchar also sent an excited email late on Wednesday: she made it into the December debates! We are currently at 10 candidates for the November debates and 6 for December.

Michael Bennet and Steve Bullock keep telling me that the DNC is artificially winnowing the field, but man, those debate stages are still ridiculously crowded.

For November, we currently have: Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Tulsi Gabbard, Kamala Harris, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, Tom Steyer, Elizabeth Warren, and Andrew Yang on stage.

For December, we currently have: Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren on stage.

Julian Castro has not yet given up on getting to the November debate.

Subject: Re: Beto O’Rourke

As Harris was trying to capitalize on the data breach on Tuesday, now Castro is trying to capitalize on Beto dropping out of the race yesterday. He seems to believe that because he and Beto are both from Texas, Democrats view them as the same person. From my experience with Beto fans online, they are not interested in Castro as an alternative. Beto and Castro both have wildly different approaches to campaigning, and Castro has none of Beto’s rhetorical skills.

Doesn’t stop him from trying, though.

Marianne Williamson’s New Hampshire state director, Paul Hodes, sent an overly sacchrine email about what it meant to watch her sign up to be on the ballot in New Hampshire.

Monday morning, I was at Marianne’s side as she signed up to be on the ballot in New Hampshire and officially entered the first-in-the-nation Presidential primary. 

As Marianne’s New Hampshire State Director, this was an important day for me, and also somewhat of a homecoming. I stood where Marianne did, when I signed up to run for New Hampshire’s 2nd Congressional District.

It’s a sobering moment. Standing behind the Secretary of State’s desk, faced with the form and handed the pen, the significance sinks in.   

I think even Marianne was surprised by the crowd. The crush that instantly surrounded her—press on all sides, supporters en masse behind—made a deep, visible impact on our candidate as she crossed the threshold into the Secretary of State’s chambers from the halls of the historic New Hampshire State House. 

Marianne handled it all like the President she will soon become—with grace, humor, and her usual quiet dignity. And even as she paused to review the photos of the United States Presidents on the Secretary’s desk—men who had come before, stood where she stood, and then succeeded—she seemed very much at ease in their company. A sense of “I can do this too,” “I belong in this group of esteemed leaders,” “I may actually do it better than that one,” emanated from our Marianne. 

Watching Marianne proudly, calmly, and assuredly proclaim, “We’re gonna go with ‘Love Will Win’” will be a moment that always sticks out for me—even as this campaign goes on to achieve higher highs and bigger wins.

By the time of the press conference, I was hit with a surge of relief that my part—as envoy of the ballot form and requisite cashier’s check—had been faithfully executed. I had experienced a moment of panic at our pre-gathering spot—Revelstoke Coffee on Concord’s Main Street—when I thought I might have grabbed the wrong folder, only to realize the correct envelope was safely stowed in my travel backpack. 

Marianne never seemed nervous.

As we grabbed a quick bite at the Barley House afterwards, I was struck by a profound sense of being on the right track. Yesterday was a moment so many of us had waited for, and worked for, and poured our hearts, souls, sweat and effort into. 

A thriving democracy will take all of us working together. Please join me on this campaign to continue our effort to co-create our America. 

Hon. Paul Hodes, New Hampshire State Director and Senior Campaign Adviser, Marianne Williamson for President

For some people, this syrupy sweet way of writing is delicious, but I much prefer someone who has honed their usage of words to a fine point. Someone who can wield words as weapons is never unarmed. Not that I want us to be fighting, but compare, if you will, Williamson’s message to Pete Buttigieg’s.

“We will fight when we must fight, but I will never allow us to get so wrapped up in the fighting that we start to think fighting is the point. The point is what lies on the other side of the fight.”

Pete Buttigieg

Aren’t their messages, at the core, very similar? They are both able to be strong to defend what is right, but they both believe not-fighting is superior to fighting and results that help people are best. But Buttigieg has gotten straight to the point and delivered his message in a way that is both quotable and powerful, while Williamson has dressed up her point in so much fluff and multi-syllabic words that it’s easier to brush her off as “orb-queen.”

Williamson does make some very good points when she speaks, and she is clearly an intelligent and well-studied person. However, and it befuddles me that I keep repeating this, she does not have a powerful way with words.

She is an author. I don’t understand how she isn’t better at crafting powerful statements.

If you take the time to pick apart her words, there is sense and reason to be found. But because you need to take the time to pick them apart, she weakens both her message and her candidacy.

One lone outsider

Kamala Harris asked me to split a donation between her campaign and Doug Jones’: Jeff Sessions is going to be running for Senate against Jones. Marianne Williamson is having a flash sale to clear out her merch as she’s redesigning (so if you like her stuff, go snap it up before it’s gone!).

Andrew Yang has announced a free Supporter Toolkit, which includes helpful advice and free stickers and such, but it’s limited to only 20,000 people.

Bernie Sanders is asking people to host a My Bernie Story workshop where you get people interested in Sanders to come together to learn how to share their story about Sanders to get more people interested.

Why do you want Bernie to be our next President?

Whether it’s because you want to leave your grandkids a habitable planet, see an end to the destructive greed of the 1% or know that all Americans can get to a doctor whenever they need — your reasons, and your story, is the key to helping us win.

Our goal is to transform Bernie supporters into the best storytellers there are. With every Bernie supporter skilled in the art of storytelling — there’ll be no limits on what we can achieve.

Between November 9-24, Bernie supporters across the country will host My Bernie Story Workshops to facilitate a storytelling workshop that trains fellow Bernie supporters into skilled storytellers.

Can you host a My Bernie Story Workshop sometime between November 9-24?

Yes, I’ll host a My Bernie Story Workshop in my community!

Hosting is simple, all you need is a few hours and an open door in a local community space or your home. We’ll give you all the resources and training you need.

Sharing our stories has the power to change the hearts and minds of even the most unlikely. From the person who didn’t think LGBTQ+ rights matter because they claim they’ve “never met a gay person” to those who didn’t know the truth about our government’s treatment of our immigrant neighbors — connecting voters with the stories of people impacted by bad policies can be the difference between a vote for our political revolution or business as usual.

Bernie already has the best supporters in town, but if we’re going to be the most effective we can be, we need hosts to sign up right now.

Yes, I’ll host a My Bernie Story Workshop in my community!

What makes this campaign so special is people like you, Aimin — our grassroots movement of people who are willing to fight for an America for us all. And it’s the power of our personal stories that will help put Bernie in the White House and transform America from the bottom up.

The success of our campaign all starts with sharing our stories. If you can host an event for people to do just that, we’ll ensure that all Bernie supporters are equipped with the confidence and charisma to inspire a whole new generation of supporters too.

Sign up to host now!

Thanks for all you do.

Team Bernie

Pete Buttigieg launched some new ads based off his Liberty and Justice dinner speech, and Steve Bullock also launched his first ad. Elizabeth Warren talked about how the wealthy and well-connected are scared of her, while Cory Booker’s team offered up some reasons why he’s not polling higher.

I know we’ve already written to you about how Cory needs 200,000 individual donors to qualify for that debate. That’s not all. He also needs to hit 4% in four separate polls to secure his spot on the stage — and we’re not quite there yet.

Now, you may be asking yourself, why hasn’t Cory been polling higher? Well, you, my dad, and everyone else I’ve talked to in the last three days, have been thinking the same thing. Here are a few reasons:

Cory didn’t enter this race with broad name recognition like Joe Biden or Bernie Sanders.

This is the most crowded primary our party has ever seen.

And truthfully, our team didn’t spend years building out his fundraising list. We had to build some things for scratch when this campaign got started.

Here’s one thing we know for sure: the more people hear from Cory, the more they like him. Right now, we’re asking everyone to chip in so we can launch ads in the early states and make sure Cory’s on the December debate stage.

Cory’s favorability numbers are high — some of the highest in this race! — and we know that he’s being actively considered by many voters and caucus-goers. In fact, in many polls, he’s being considered by more voters than the top two or three candidates.

These ads make a real difference and reach large numbers of voters, many of whom haven’t been introduced to Cory yet.

Jenna Lowenstein, Deputy Campaign Manager, Cory 2020

Finally, Joe Biden pointed out that the next debate, November 20, also falls on Biden’s birthday. He asked if anyone can host a debate/birthday party for him to celebrate.

Biden will, for the record, be turning 77.

…I have an idea for a new chart…

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