Days 166 and 167: 11/2/19-11/3/19

The weekend marked 1 year until the general election. Joe Biden felt this was important. So did many other candidates. Marianne Williamson even changed her buttons!


For all new readers: Welcome! I am currently on the mailing lists of Joe Biden and Donald Trump, though I have previously been on the mailing lists of 28 Democratic candidates! This blog breaks down recent emails with charts and excerpts. If you already know all of this, feel free to skip to the next chart!

It took some time for the Trump emails to kick in, so I started officially tracking his list on July 7. I have been tracking Biden’s for longer, but I will start comparing them as of July 7. All of these emails are going to a new email, and I have not donated, filled out surveys, signed petitions, or otherwise interacted with either candidate’s emails.

The rules I try to follow for the various categories are laid out in The Framework.

Busy for a weekend.

Michael Bennet, Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, and Kamala Harris all sent 5 emails each over the weekend, while Cory Booker and Amy Klobuchar stayed at 4. Julian Castro was down to just 2 emails in as many days, further backing up my theory that he only bothers to email when he wants something from me.

8 emails difference

Saturday had the most emails as candidates recapped their Friday night performance at the Liberty and Justice dinner, though Sunday marked 100 days to the New Hampshire primary and 1 year until the general election.

One more year. We can survive this.

I found it very interesting that Joe Biden talked about the importance of winning the early states in his emails… with one exception.

Winning the New Hampshire “first in the nation” primary is a critical piece to the nomination.

We need to succeed in New Hampshire to build the momentum we want into Nevada, South Carolina, Super Tuesday, and beyond.

So with just over 100 days until New Hampshire, and just over one year until the general election, can we count on you?

Iowa is absent from that list of places they need to succeed in. It wasn’t just a one-time absence either:

What happens in New Hampshire will be the momentum that carries us through South Carolina, Nevada and Super Tuesday.

Ian Moskowitz, New Hampshire State Director, Biden for President

Biden’s Iowa polls have been sagging, while Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg have been climbing. It certainly feels like the Biden team is cutting their losses early and downplaying Iowa–they don’t need Iowa, it’s fine, they can let someone else have Iowa, they have New Hampshire. I’m interested in seeing how this strategy plays out with the caucus coming up in February.

Money is creeping up the ask chart again.

Cory Booker sent out an email on Sunday to his non-donors asking us to pledge to vote in the general election no matter who the nominee was. He included a link to register to vote if you hadn’t already. No other candidate called for this–most candidates didn’t even ask you to vote for them in their Sunday emails. Booker’s constant dedication to the unity of the party has always won him points in my book. The bulk of the Democrats share the bulk of their policies and ideals. It is far more important that we put one of them in office than it is that we put a specific one in office. Any candidate who disagrees earns me some automatic skepticism.

Which is why Elizabeth Warren’s attack on Joe Biden had me very confused.

Warren put out her Medicare for All plan on Friday, and Biden criticized the “mathematical gymnastics” she required to pay for the plan. When asked about her response to his remark, Warren had some things to say to a reporter:

The cost projections that we have on Medicare were authenticated by President Obama’s head of Medicare. Our revenue projections were authenticated by President Obama’s labor economist. And the employer contribution is already part of the Affordable Care Act that President Obama put into the Affordable Care Act. So if Joe Biden doesn’t like that, I’m just not sure where he’s going…

Democrats are not going to win by repeating Republican talking points and by dusting off the points of view of the giant insurance companies and the giant drug companies who don’t want to see any change in the law that will bite into their profits. But if anyone wants to defend keeping those high profits for insurance companies and those high profits for drug companies and not making the top 1 percent pay a fair share in taxes and not making corporations pay a fair share in taxes, then I think they’re running in the wrong presidential primary.

Elizabeth Warren

Biden shot back at Warren in an email touting his successes as a Democrat.

Yesterday, Elizabeth Warren suggested I was “running in the wrong presidential primary” because I believe in building on Obamacare — not getting rid of it.

That’s so wrong, it’s almost laughable. I’ve been a card-carrying Democrat since I was 27. And I am running for president because of my progressive record.

If my opponents want to have a debate on what they’ve done to truly implement progressive, meaningful change in our country — not what they’re planning, not what they’re proposing, but what they’ve accomplished — I welcome it.

But to hurl insults because we don’t share the same approach for the best way to get to the same goal…well that is something I would expect in the other primary.

Joe Biden

Biden’s last paragraph there resonated with me, as it’s what I agree with. The end goal for the Democrats are effectively the same. Making personal attacks because the path to the end varies is uncalled for, especially in light of the President we currently have. It was also very out of character for Warren, I felt. If her plan is really as strong as she believes it is, it shouldn’t need a personal attack to be defended.

As the race grows tighter and time runs out, I’m worried these sorts of personal attacks will be coming more and more frequently. I hope they don’t. We don’t need another petty President, or another angry President, or another insecure President. After Trump, we need someone who can take criticism without lashing out. Correct the lies and argue the facts, absolutely. But don’t attack the people.

Election day is a Campaign Event

With the general election on year out from Sunday, many of the campaigns brought it up. Amy Klobuchar decided to raise $100,000 in one day as a one-year-out goal. Pete Buttigieg talked about the importance of making him the nominee because in a year, he will win the general election. Tom Steyer wanted a dollar to get him to the next debates so he can make it to the general in a year.

Marianne Williamson, meanwhile, changed up her buttons.


I don’t get it. She has pretty good branding. Why are her buttons so inconsistent?

Also, as a reminder, many states require signatures to get candidates on the ballot. Signing ballot petitions does not commit you to vote for them. If you’re asked to sign a petition to get a Democrat on the ballot, you should do so, even if they aren’t your number one choice! Getting Democrats on the ballots is the first step to getting them to win the ballots. I know that Andrew Yang’s Yang Gang will be out in force tomorrow on voting day in many states trying to get those signatures. I’m sure he won’t be the only one with a presence.

Kamala Harris is closing in on 400.

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