Day 141: 10/8/19

On Tuesday, Steve Bullock was touting his victory in the polls, Marianne Williamson realized the reason behind her low polls, and Julian Castro completely threw me for a loop.

EmailsCampaigns
Total5415
Non-Donor2915
Donor2513
And Kamala Harris is back on top.

Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, and Marianne Williamson all sent 3 emails on Tuesday, while Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Julian Castro, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, Tom Steyer, Elizabeth Warren, and Andrew Yang all sent 2 emails.

Polls count as news events.

They say there’s a poll for everyone, and Montana governor Steve Bullock is no exception. Yesterday, he sent an email with exclamation emojis in the subject.

!!!

That’s right: in a recent head-to-head poll, Bullock is beating Trump by 4 percentage points! And not only is Bullock beating Trump… none of the other Democratic candidates are!

Montana is a deep-red state.

That’s right, in Montana, Bullock’s home state, Bullock is winning the head-to-head polls (which are basically worthless at this point in the race, says FiveThirtyEight). In order for the Democrats to flip Montana and its 3 electoral votes blue, we should pick Bullock as our nominee.

Bullock’s argument is that if he can flip Montana, he can flip any midwest state.

If that were true, wouldn’t he be polling higher across the midwest?

Marianne Williamson, meanwhile, was perusing the results of a survey she had done, and she discovered the reason why her polls were so low.

There is a valid point here.

Williamson is correct: topline poll results usually only display who the Democrats polled would vote for. If you say “I’m Republican, I’ll vote Williamson,” you don’t get counted in the toplines and therefore you don’t count toward the percentages that she needs to get into the debates.

Except she’s not the only bridge candidate. We’ve seen this argument for candidates such as Andrew Yang and Pete Buttigieg, and they’re not having problems with their polling numbers. Williamson, like Michael Bennet, like Steve Bullock, is trying to find a reason why she’s not getting the success she feels is warranted, and she’s looking anywhere but within.

But speaking of someone looking within… Julian Castro sent a horrifying and yet heartfelt email yesterday, one I read in full and wish to share with you all.

The true crisis at the border is the way we’re treating those who are TRYING to “get in line.”

Castro’s donation link goes to Team Brownsville, an organization that provides Humanitarian Assistance for Asylum Seekers.

It is not done through ActBlue. It is not a “split a donation” link. Castro is asking us to help because it is the right thing to do, as Americans.

If you can give, please do.

It’s the first email from him that I felt was presidential.

Castro was the “Outside” ask.

Yesterday was also interesting in that Elizabeth Warren sent an “other” ask. She claimed that she was fired for being pregnant, but Republicans are claiming that’s not true because that wasn’t what was written in her employment record.

Ever since I was in second grade, I knew I wanted to be a public school teacher. And after some twists and turns, I got to live my dream.

But when I was 22 and finishing my first year of teaching, I had an experience millions of women will recognize.

By June I was visibly pregnant — and the principal told me the job I’d already been promised for the next year would go to someone else.

This was 1971, years before Congress outlawed pregnancy discrimination — but we know it still happens in subtle and not-so-subtle ways. We can fight back by telling our stories. I tell mine on the campaign trail, and I hope to hear yours.

It’s important for the public to know just how pervasive pregnancy discrimination is, and how many families it affects. If you or someone you know has ever faced discrimination in the workplace for being pregnant, join me and share your story today:

Pregnancy discrimination has affected countless women and families nationwide.

As Trudy Randall, another teacher at Riverdale Elementary, told CBS News recently, “The rule was at five months you had to leave when you were pregnant. Now, if you didn’t tell anybody you were pregnant, and they didn’t know, you could fudge it and try to stay on a little bit longer. But they kind of wanted you out if you were pregnant.”

In 1978, Congress officially banned pregnancy discrimination, but we know it continues to happen today in both obvious and less obvious ways, from women being nervous about interviewing for a job while pregnant to worrying about repercussions of taking parental leave to flat-out being let go for being pregnant.

Our stories matter. I’m going to keep talking about my experience, and I hope you’ll join me and share your story today.

Elizabeth Warren

All day long on Twitter, the Team Warren Twitter account was retweeting stories about women who were fired for being pregnant.

What I found interesting was that she sent a donation request with this email to my donor account, and she just asked for my story from my non-donor account. The donor account asked for the story through a P.S. I feel like this is an example of a foot-in-the-door marketing strategy. Once you say yes to one small thing (give us your discrimination story), you’re primed to say yes again and again. That first yes is the hardest. With the donor version of the email, I’ve already said yes by giving money once. It’s more likely that I’ll give money again now that the first ‘yes’ has been broken.

Warren wasn’t the only one asking for donations. Kamala Harris told me her goal was to raise $150,000 by debate night and not a penny less. Andrew Yang qualified for the November debates but is falling short of where he thought he’d be to hit his increased goals. Beto O’Rourke asked me to prove I had his back in the next debate with a donation.

But it’s still Castro’s email that is sticking in my mind. I went ahead and donated to Team Brownsville. I’m not going to let this administration redefine what it means to be American if I can help it.

It took 216 emails for Castro to send me a good one.

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